| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
715 |
0.955 |
$682.05 |
$115.06 |
+20.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $800 on August 6? |
No |
86 |
0.925 |
$79.66 |
$-5.34 |
-6.3% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on August 5? |
Yes |
71 |
0.980 |
$70.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on August 5? |
Yes |
62 |
0.989 |
$61.12 |
$1.12 |
+1.9% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
50 |
1.000 |
$49.96 |
$4.68 |
+10.3% |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
No |
50 |
0.995 |
$49.75 |
$0.75 |
+1.5% |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
No |
45 |
0.984 |
$44.28 |
$1.08 |
+2.5% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
42 |
0.935 |
$39.34 |
$3.34 |
+9.3% |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 US song this week? |
Yes |
44 |
0.825 |
$36.26 |
$-3.73 |
-9.3% |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song this week? |
Yes |
42 |
0.836 |
$35.20 |
$-4.80 |
-12.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on August 5? |
No |
30 |
0.997 |
$30.06 |
$0.06 |
+0.2% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on August 5? |
Yes |
31 |
0.941 |
$29.09 |
$-0.91 |
-3.0% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
No |
35 |
0.680 |
$23.64 |
$-3.36 |
-12.4% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on August 5? |
Yes |
20 |
0.997 |
$20.26 |
$0.26 |
+1.3% |
| Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the #1 US song this week? |
Yes |
22 |
0.885 |
$19.66 |
$-0.33 |
-1.7% |
| Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week? |
No |
14 |
0.995 |
$14.06 |
$0.06 |
+0.5% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
13 |
0.963 |
$12.20 |
$1.20 |
+10.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.998 |
$9.97 |
$0.05 |
+0.6% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.959 |
$9.81 |
$0.81 |
+8.9% |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.967 |
$6.99 |
$0.99 |
+16.5% |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.966 |
$5.23 |
$0.23 |
+4.6% |
| Will China's CPI increase by at least 1.3% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.986 |
$4.98 |
$-0.02 |
-0.5% |
| Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #2 US song this week? |
No |
5 |
0.906 |
$4.12 |
$-0.38 |
-8.4% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.918 |
$3.98 |
$0.98 |
+32.6% |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.967 |
$3.49 |
$0.49 |
+16.3% |