| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
715 |
0.952 |
$679.91 |
$112.92 |
+19.9% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
50 |
0.997 |
$49.81 |
$4.53 |
+10.0% |
| Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
No |
50 |
0.986 |
$49.30 |
$0.30 |
+0.6% |
| Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? |
No |
45 |
0.981 |
$44.12 |
$0.92 |
+2.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
42 |
0.935 |
$39.34 |
$3.34 |
+9.3% |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song this week? |
Yes |
42 |
0.910 |
$38.31 |
$-1.68 |
-4.2% |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #2 US song this week? |
Yes |
44 |
0.855 |
$37.58 |
$-2.41 |
-6.0% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
No |
35 |
0.680 |
$23.64 |
$-3.36 |
-12.4% |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on August 5? |
Yes |
20 |
0.997 |
$20.26 |
$0.26 |
+1.3% |
| Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the #1 US song this week? |
Yes |
22 |
0.875 |
$19.44 |
$-0.56 |
-2.8% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
13 |
0.963 |
$12.20 |
$1.20 |
+10.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.998 |
$9.97 |
$0.05 |
+0.6% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.959 |
$9.81 |
$0.81 |
+8.9% |
| Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week? |
No |
14 |
0.616 |
$8.71 |
$-5.29 |
-37.8% |
| Will Elon register any party before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.967 |
$6.99 |
$0.99 |
+16.5% |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.965 |
$5.23 |
$0.23 |
+4.5% |
| Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #2 US song this week? |
No |
5 |
0.940 |
$4.27 |
$-0.23 |
-5.1% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.918 |
$3.97 |
$0.97 |
+32.5% |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? |
No |
4 |
0.965 |
$3.48 |
$0.48 |
+16.2% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.365 |
$2.47 |
$-2.54 |
-50.7% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.981 |
$2.03 |
$0.03 |
+1.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
2 |
0.987 |
$2.02 |
$0.02 |
+0.9% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.945 |
$1.14 |
$0.14 |
+13.8% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.985 |
$1.02 |
$0.02 |
+2.4% |