PnL (30d)

−$741

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$49

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

39%

269W / 420L · 107 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

317W / 479L

Trades (30d)

796

across 47 markets · ~17 per market

EV / position

−$20.04

avg win $31 · loss $47

Profit Factor

0.35

$397 won / $1,138 lost

Reward / Risk

0.64

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$234

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.9% 1,635W/1,288L	1256	$32,354
🏛 Politics	35.9% 78W/139L	19	$1,652
🎬 Culture	35.9% 78W/139L	19	$1,652

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	678	0.176	$119.26	$43.11	+56.6%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	350	0.255	$89.25	$37.00	+70.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	500	0.021	$10.50	$1.50	+16.7%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	519	0.018	$9.09	$-44.58	-83.1%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	6,700	0.001	$6.70	$-18.47	-73.4%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	800	0.003	$2.00	$-61.75	-96.9%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	800	0.001	$0.40	$-18.40	-97.9%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-2.30	-95.8%