PnL (30d)

−$1,225

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$48

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

1,635W / 1,288L · 109 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

1,683W / 1,347L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

3,032

across 1,256 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.98

avg win $4 · loss $14

Profit Factor

0.74

$3,448 won / $4,673 lost

Reward / Risk

0.27

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$920

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.9% 1,635W/1,288L	1256	$32,354
🏛 Politics	22.0% 49W/174L	19	$1,722
🎬 Culture	22.0% 49W/174L	19	$1,722

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	678	0.179	$121.63	$45.48	+59.7%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	350	0.245	$85.75	$33.50	+64.1%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	519	0.018	$9.35	$-44.32	-82.6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	400	0.019	$7.80	$0.40	+5.4%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	6,700	0.001	$6.70	$-18.47	-73.4%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	800	0.003	$2.00	$-61.75	-96.9%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	800	0.001	$0.40	$-18.40	-97.9%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-2.30	-95.8%