0xf3b550c43f97a626049036e6F6DbB1f9413e4c72-1768771929441
0xf3b550c43f97a626049036e6f6dbb1f9413e4c72
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$256
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$221
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-42.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
27%
3W / 8L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
7W / 14L
Trades (30d)
21
across 13 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$36.52
avg win $0 · loss $51
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $256 lost
Reward / Risk
0.00
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,783 · all-time $300,566
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
35.3%
30W/55L
|
60 |
$8,075 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
100.0%
1W/0L
|
3 |
$75 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
1,303 |
0.065 |
$84.67 |
$-215.33 |
-71.8% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
154 |
0.105 |
$16.18 |
$-34.82 |
-68.3% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
15 |
0.375 |
$5.51 |
$0.51 |
+10.3% |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in August? |
Yes |
4 |
0.590 |
$2.46 |
$1.46 |
+145.8% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
Yes |
34 |
0.060 |
$2.07 |
$-7.93 |
-79.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
625 |
0.002 |
$0.94 |
$-9.06 |
-90.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
6 |
0.055 |
$0.34 |
$-0.66 |
-65.6% |
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by August 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.014 |
$0.05 |
$-0.95 |
-95.2% |