PnL (30d)

+$588

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$186

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+15.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

30W / 55L · 54 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

58W / 81L

Trades (30d)

139

across 60 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$15.09

avg win $143 · loss $35

Profit Factor

1.60

$1,568 won / $980 lost

Reward / Risk

4.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$205

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.3% 30W/55L	60	$8,075
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$75

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	1,303	0.065	$84.67	$-215.33	-71.8%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	154	0.110	$16.95	$-34.05	-66.8%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	15	0.375	$5.51	$0.51	+10.3%
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in August?	Yes	4	0.590	$2.46	$1.46	+145.8%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	Yes	34	0.055	$1.90	$-8.10	-81.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	625	0.002	$0.94	$-9.06	-90.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	No	6	0.055	$0.34	$-0.66	-65.6%
Israeli forces enter Beirut by August 31?	Yes	3	0.013	$0.04	$-0.96	-95.7%