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Trader leaderboard/BettingQuant

BettingQuant

0xf3505345381358c2311ef9bc8096ace10165f3ff
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$211
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+24.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
20W / 6L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
79%
22W / 6L
Trades (30d)
28
across 4 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$70.37
avg win $106 · loss $1
Profit Factor
212.17
$212 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
106.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,778 · all-time $2,627,721

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 79.7% 338W/86L 137 $29,808
💵 Economy 74.7% 62W/21L 46 $6,188
₿ Crypto 74.4% 61W/21L 45 $6,176
🏛 Politics — 1 $69
🤖 Tech — 1 $133

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of August 3 2026? No 1,340 0.976 $1,307.48 $68.44 +5.5%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of August 3 2026? No 543 0.960 $521.28 $112.74 +27.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026? No 488 0.994 $485.54 $21.27 +4.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $111 Week of August 3 2026? No 320 0.994 $318.08 $14.96 +4.9%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $660 Week of August 3 2026? No 285 0.984 $280.43 $11.79 +4.4%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of August 3 2026? No 212 0.971 $206.34 $3.34 +1.6%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 750 0.259 $193.79 $6.07 +3.2%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 500 0.355 $177.50 $-59.50 -25.1%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026? No 186 0.860 $159.87 $61.34 +62.3%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $127? Yes 120 0.980 $117.59 $11.90 +11.3%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $630 Week of August 3 2026? No 111 0.925 $102.67 $-5.00 -4.6%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 120 0.680 $81.60 $10.20 +14.3%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $90? No 720 0.090 $64.80 $-48.60 -42.9%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August? No 62 0.760 $47.35 $6.45 +15.8%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $128? Yes 40 0.939 $37.56 $2.86 +8.2%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $129? Yes 40 0.910 $36.40 $2.20 +6.4%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $126? Yes 38 0.930 $35.72 $2.69 +8.1%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $125? Yes 39 0.925 $35.65 $1.35 +3.9%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? No 45 0.700 $31.50 $5.40 +20.7%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? No 20 0.890 $17.80 $7.60 +74.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 3 2026? No 10 0.965 $9.65 $0.10 +1.0%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $124? No 100 0.016 $1.60 $-1.40 -46.7%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $118? No 100 0.004 $0.35 $-1.65 -82.5%