PnL (30d)

+$618

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$328

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

338W / 86L · 67 open

Win Return (30d)

81%

396W / 93L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

491

across 137 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$5.47

avg win $31 · loss $131

Profit Factor

1.26

$2,969 won / $2,351 lost

Reward / Risk

0.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$359

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	79.7% 338W/86L	137	$29,808
💵 Economy	67.4% 64W/31L	51	$7,311
₿ Crypto	67.4% 62W/30L	48	$7,147
🏛 Politics	50.0% 1W/1L	3	$220
🤖 Tech	—	1	$133

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of August 3 2026?	No	1,340	0.979	$1,310.83	$71.79	+5.8%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of August 3 2026?	No	543	0.960	$521.28	$112.74	+27.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026?	No	488	0.994	$485.54	$21.27	+4.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $111 Week of August 3 2026?	No	320	0.994	$318.08	$14.96	+4.9%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $660 Week of August 3 2026?	No	285	0.984	$280.43	$11.79	+4.4%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of August 3 2026?	No	212	0.971	$206.34	$3.34	+1.6%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	750	0.261	$195.29	$7.57	+4.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	500	0.345	$172.45	$-64.55	-27.2%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026?	No	186	0.850	$158.01	$59.48	+60.4%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $127?	Yes	120	0.980	$117.59	$11.90	+11.3%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $630 Week of August 3 2026?	No	111	0.978	$108.56	$0.89	+0.8%
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	Yes	120	0.690	$82.79	$11.39	+15.9%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $90?	No	720	0.080	$57.60	$-55.80	-49.2%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $145 in August?	No	62	0.700	$43.61	$2.71	+6.6%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $128?	Yes	40	0.938	$37.52	$2.82	+8.1%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $129?	Yes	40	0.938	$37.50	$3.30	+9.6%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $126?	Yes	38	0.940	$36.11	$3.07	+9.3%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $125?	Yes	39	0.925	$35.65	$1.35	+3.9%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?	No	45	0.685	$30.82	$4.72	+18.1%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	20	0.895	$17.90	$7.70	+75.5%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 3 2026?	No	10	0.955	$9.55	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $124?	No	100	0.016	$1.60	$-1.40	-46.7%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $118?	No	100	0.004	$0.35	$-1.65	-82.5%