PnL (30d)

−$93

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$42

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 60L · 37 open

Win Return (30d)

0%

0W / 88L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

97

across 36 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$4.24

· loss $4

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $93 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	5.8% 178W/2,878L	1747	$244,966
🏛 Politics	6.1% 2W/31L	54	$10,106
🌤 Weather	2.2% 2W/89L	43	$2,361
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/28L	36	$4,607
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/4L	30	$2,889
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/14L	27	$4,141
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/6L	13	$933
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/2L	7	$1,398

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	100	0.445	$44.50	$-16.50	-27.0%
Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?	No	200	0.205	$41.00	$-51.00	-55.4%
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?	No	31	0.595	$18.45	$-4.50	-19.6%
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	No	45	0.250	$11.25	$-6.30	-35.9%
Will Weibo Gaming be a 2027 VCT CN partner team?	No	16	0.565	$9.32	$-1.73	-15.7%
Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	No	40	0.230	$9.20	$-4.00	-30.3%
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?	Yes	120	0.075	$9.00	$-30.60	-77.3%
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?	Yes	158	0.045	$7.10	$-16.57	-70.0%
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?	Yes	50	0.140	$7.00	$-7.50	-51.7%
Will LOS Qualify for the CBLOL Split 2 Playoffs	No	120	0.045	$5.40	$-22.20	-80.4%
US x China tariff agreement by August 31?	Yes	73	0.065	$4.70	$-9.88	-67.8%
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	9	0.495	$4.46	$-0.94	-17.5%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	79	0.055	$4.36	$-45.59	-91.3%
Will Aaron Donald sign his next NFL contract by August 12, 2026?	Yes	19	0.180	$3.42	$-5.70	-62.5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 6?	No	2	0.650	$1.35	$-0.12	-8.4%
Will Kael Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?	Yes	172	0.004	$0.69	$-6.19	-90.0%
Will United Russia win the next Adygea Parliament elections?	No	93	0.007	$0.65	$-3.07	-82.5%
Will Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	67	0.003	$0.17	$-24.62	-99.3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	No	4	0.001	$0.00	$-2.84	-99.9%