| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
20,000 |
0.790 |
$15,810.00 |
$5,810.00 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.209 |
$4,190.00 |
$-5,810.00 |
-58.1% |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
1,939 |
0.988 |
$1,915.15 |
$18.98 |
+1.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,600 |
0.935 |
$1,496.00 |
$22.36 |
+1.5% |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
1,667 |
0.875 |
$1,458.59 |
$56.75 |
+4.0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
No |
1,556 |
0.875 |
$1,361.79 |
$8.91 |
+0.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,200 |
0.968 |
$1,161.00 |
$-7.80 |
-0.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
1,200 |
0.957 |
$1,147.81 |
$-1.39 |
-0.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
1,200 |
0.945 |
$1,134.00 |
$6.00 |
+0.5% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
No |
354 |
0.696 |
$246.35 |
$-67.97 |
-21.6% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
Yes |
106 |
0.485 |
$51.18 |
$-6.41 |
-11.1% |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.955 |
$3.61 |
$0.51 |
+16.5% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.895 |
$1.29 |
$0.28 |
+28.0% |