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Trader leaderboard/flameron

flameron

0xf2ab1d55462e3417a4c6e91affbe787d9c3a97a4
PnL (30d)
−$163
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$279
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
164W / 135L · 228 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
270W / 257L
Trades (30d)
527
across 37 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
−$8.13
avg win $47 · loss $91
Profit Factor
0.78
$568 won / $731 lost
Reward / Risk
0.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$48
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,157 · all-time $2,797,454

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.8% 164W/135L 37 $145,760
🏛 Politics 66.7% 2W/1L 9 $22,785
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 3 $1,557
₿ Crypto 2 $605
⚽ Sports 1 $171
🎬 Culture 1 $1,128
🔬 Science 1 $1,128

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 20,000 0.790 $15,810.00 $5,810.00 +58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 20,000 0.209 $4,190.00 $-5,810.00 -58.1%
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No 1,939 0.988 $1,915.15 $18.98 +1.0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 1,600 0.935 $1,496.00 $22.36 +1.5%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes 1,667 0.872 $1,453.59 $51.75 +3.7%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 1,556 0.875 $1,361.79 $8.91 +0.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 1,200 0.969 $1,162.20 $-6.60 -0.6%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 1,200 0.957 $1,148.41 $-0.79 -0.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 1,200 0.945 $1,134.00 $6.00 +0.5%
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 354 0.696 $246.49 $-67.83 -21.6%
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 106 0.485 $51.18 $-6.41 -11.1%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 4 0.955 $3.61 $0.51 +16.5%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 1 0.895 $1.29 $0.28 +28.0%