rabbit007
0xf2aa8381a08ec33467fbcdd0843aa31cb8d521fb
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,064
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$154
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
18%
19W / 85L · 66 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
59W / 111L
Trades (30d)
170
across 23 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$118.23
avg win $244 · loss $299
Profit Factor
0.41
$731 won / $1,795 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$690
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,964 · all-time $2,338,534
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
3,220 |
0.845 |
$2,721.11 |
$435.58 |
+19.1% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
2,539 |
0.715 |
$1,815.08 |
$255.51 |
+16.4% |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
No |
1,193 |
0.795 |
$948.06 |
$21.24 |
+2.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
2,200 |
0.380 |
$836.00 |
$-198.00 |
-19.1% |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
Yes |
2,173 |
0.375 |
$814.69 |
$-201.79 |
-19.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.945 |
$94.50 |
$7.50 |
+8.6% |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? |
No |
758 |
0.100 |
$75.76 |
$6.43 |
+9.3% |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? |
No |
26 |
0.860 |
$22.70 |
$2.90 |
+14.7% |
| Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
389 |
0.001 |
$0.19 |
$-16.02 |
-98.8% |
| Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
389 |
0.001 |
$0.19 |
$-16.02 |
-98.8% |
| Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
Yes |
389 |
0.001 |
$0.19 |
$-16.02 |
-98.8% |