PnL (30d)

+$133

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3,160

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

102W / 209L · 151 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

221W / 241L

Trades (30d)

462

across 55 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$4.28

avg win $421 · loss $386

Profit Factor

1.02

$6,311 won / $6,179 lost

Reward / Risk

1.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,144

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.8% 102W/209L	55	$72,953
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/19L	6	$11,967
💵 Economy	—	1	$1,034

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	3,220	0.835	$2,688.91	$403.38	+17.6%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	2,539	0.715	$1,815.08	$255.51	+16.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	2,200	0.375	$825.00	$-209.00	-20.2%
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	1,482	0.335	$496.63	$-281.66	-36.2%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?	No	100	0.945	$94.50	$7.50	+8.6%
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?	No	758	0.100	$75.76	$6.43	+9.3%
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	26	0.875	$23.09	$3.30	+16.7%
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	389	0.001	$0.19	$-16.02	-98.8%
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	389	0.001	$0.19	$-16.02	-98.8%
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	389	0.001	$0.19	$-16.02	-98.8%