| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
Yes |
7,000 |
0.205 |
$1,434.94 |
$-1,386.14 |
-49.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,500 |
0.261 |
$1,432.75 |
$-45.58 |
-3.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
Yes |
8,500 |
0.125 |
$1,062.52 |
$-1,314.59 |
-55.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,500 |
0.245 |
$857.44 |
$-522.11 |
-37.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,330 |
0.355 |
$827.13 |
$-140.69 |
-14.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.155 |
$774.95 |
$-688.55 |
-47.0% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
1,600 |
0.465 |
$744.18 |
$-33.09 |
-4.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
3,000 |
0.205 |
$615.00 |
$-441.00 |
-41.8% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
No |
1,372 |
0.430 |
$589.79 |
$-80.11 |
-12.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.115 |
$575.01 |
$-327.10 |
-36.3% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
No |
790 |
0.710 |
$560.76 |
$163.94 |
+41.3% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? |
No |
1,154 |
0.455 |
$525.01 |
$-11.87 |
-2.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
2,500 |
0.185 |
$462.53 |
$-317.52 |
-40.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.075 |
$450.03 |
$-439.97 |
-49.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
1,600 |
0.280 |
$447.96 |
$-316.09 |
-41.4% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
No |
3,942 |
0.111 |
$435.61 |
$22.03 |
+5.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
704 |
0.588 |
$414.21 |
$55.35 |
+15.4% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
1,593 |
0.260 |
$414.19 |
$-34.09 |
-7.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.400 |
$399.86 |
$-77.72 |
-16.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
750 |
0.495 |
$371.25 |
$3.75 |
+1.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,000 |
0.355 |
$355.00 |
$-15.00 |
-4.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
2,200 |
0.135 |
$297.00 |
$-628.84 |
-67.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,600 |
0.185 |
$295.95 |
$-304.43 |
-50.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
3,712 |
0.075 |
$278.42 |
$-120.09 |
-30.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? |
Yes |
7,289 |
0.035 |
$255.11 |
$-886.35 |
-77.7% |