| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? |
Yes |
7,000 |
0.205 |
$1,434.94 |
$-1,386.14 |
-49.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
5,500 |
0.261 |
$1,432.75 |
$-45.58 |
-3.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? |
Yes |
8,500 |
0.125 |
$1,062.52 |
$-1,314.59 |
-55.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,500 |
0.245 |
$857.44 |
$-522.11 |
-37.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,330 |
0.360 |
$838.78 |
$-129.04 |
-13.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.155 |
$774.95 |
$-688.55 |
-47.0% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
1,600 |
0.470 |
$752.18 |
$-25.09 |
-3.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
3,000 |
0.215 |
$645.00 |
$-411.00 |
-38.9% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? |
No |
1,372 |
0.430 |
$589.79 |
$-80.11 |
-12.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
2,500 |
0.235 |
$587.54 |
$-192.51 |
-24.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.115 |
$575.01 |
$-327.10 |
-36.3% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
No |
790 |
0.725 |
$572.61 |
$175.78 |
+44.3% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? |
No |
1,154 |
0.455 |
$525.01 |
$-11.87 |
-2.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
1,600 |
0.320 |
$511.96 |
$-252.10 |
-33.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.080 |
$480.03 |
$-409.96 |
-46.1% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
No |
3,942 |
0.111 |
$435.61 |
$22.03 |
+5.3% |
| Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
1,593 |
0.260 |
$414.19 |
$-34.09 |
-7.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.375 |
$374.87 |
$-102.71 |
-21.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,600 |
0.230 |
$367.93 |
$-232.44 |
-38.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,000 |
0.345 |
$344.90 |
$-25.10 |
-6.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
617 |
0.540 |
$333.48 |
$21.34 |
+6.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
750 |
0.435 |
$326.25 |
$-41.25 |
-11.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
2,200 |
0.145 |
$319.00 |
$-606.84 |
-65.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
3,712 |
0.075 |
$278.42 |
$-120.09 |
-30.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? |
Yes |
7,289 |
0.036 |
$262.40 |
$-879.06 |
-77.0% |