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Trader

0xf22b92600b8736a7c1552f6de5808eee72647eab
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$22
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
2W / 4L · 50 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
35W / 21L
Trades (30d)
56
across 11 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$1.74
avg win $7 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.91
$7 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
1.91
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,747 · all-time $684,824

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.5% 138W/203L 181 $39,924
💵 Economy 100.0% 7W/0L 39 $4,290
₿ Crypto 63.6% 7W/4L 35 $2,519
⚽ Sports 60.0% 3W/2L 12 $2,593
🏛 Politics 7 $1,072
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 4 $366
🤖 Tech 2 $156
🌤 Weather 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

101 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? No 901 0.555 $500.27 $185.86 +59.1%
Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 682 0.730 $497.78 $94.03 +23.3%
Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 569 0.830 $472.10 $26.61 +6.0%
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 851 0.530 $450.81 $-35.19 -7.2%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 592 0.745 $441.28 $26.11 +6.3%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No 466 0.865 $402.98 $21.12 +5.5%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No 430 0.815 $350.24 $53.56 +18.1%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 300 0.921 $276.41 $5.92 +2.2%
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 1,197 0.212 $253.80 $46.46 +22.4%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 290 0.790 $228.77 $70.17 +44.2%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No 486 0.460 $223.50 $-90.22 -28.8%
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 223 0.914 $203.37 $4.36 +2.2%
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP? No 200 0.966 $193.08 $-1.36 -0.7%
Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 365 0.495 $180.49 $31.97 +21.5%
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes 437 0.410 $179.28 $-124.85 -41.1%
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch? No 258 0.680 $175.21 $3.62 +2.1%
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 231 0.750 $172.93 $-3.76 -2.1%
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 184 0.805 $147.82 $58.05 +64.7%
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? No 164 0.835 $136.92 $0.82 +0.6%
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 170 0.800 $136.38 $-0.21 -0.2%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 252 0.540 $136.19 $2.14 +1.6%
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes 233 0.580 $135.31 $-36.35 -21.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 169 0.790 $133.48 $31.82 +31.3%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No 132 0.963 $127.16 $2.38 +1.9%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B? No 126 0.855 $107.46 $28.84 +36.7%