PnL (30d)

−$127

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-19.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 39L · 16 open

Win Return (30d)

0%

0W / 55L

Trades (30d)

55

across 11 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$15.86

· loss $16

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $127 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$33

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.5% 138W/203L	181	$39,924
💵 Economy	100.0% 7W/0L	57	$6,682
₿ Crypto	63.6% 7W/4L	53	$4,639
⚽ Sports	42.9% 3W/4L	12	$3,053
🏛 Politics	—	7	$1,092
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/4L	4	$386
🤖 Tech	—	3	$161
🌤 Weather	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$33

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

101 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	901	0.555	$500.27	$185.86	+59.1%
Valantis FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	569	0.835	$474.94	$29.45	+6.6%
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	851	0.530	$450.81	$-35.19	-7.2%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	592	0.745	$441.28	$26.11	+6.3%
Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	682	0.640	$436.41	$32.66	+8.1%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	466	0.865	$402.98	$21.12	+5.5%
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	430	0.815	$350.24	$53.56	+18.1%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	300	0.921	$276.41	$5.92	+2.2%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	486	0.505	$245.36	$-68.36	-21.8%
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	1,197	0.197	$235.25	$27.90	+13.5%
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	290	0.790	$228.77	$70.17	+44.2%
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	223	0.914	$203.37	$4.36	+2.2%
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	200	0.966	$193.08	$-1.36	-0.7%
Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	365	0.495	$180.49	$31.97	+21.5%
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	437	0.410	$179.28	$-124.85	-41.1%
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	258	0.680	$175.21	$3.62	+2.1%
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	231	0.750	$172.93	$-3.76	-2.1%
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	184	0.785	$144.15	$54.37	+60.6%
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	164	0.835	$136.92	$0.82	+0.6%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	252	0.540	$136.19	$2.14	+1.6%
Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	170	0.795	$135.52	$-1.07	-0.8%
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	233	0.580	$135.31	$-36.35	-21.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	169	0.790	$133.48	$31.82	+31.3%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	132	0.963	$127.16	$2.38	+1.9%
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	126	0.855	$107.46	$28.84	+36.7%