PnL (30d)

−$74

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$36

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

3W / 1L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

80%

4W / 1L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

6

across 6 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$18.46

avg win $43 · loss $202

Profit Factor

0.63

$128 won / $202 lost

Reward / Risk

0.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	79.3% 23W/6L	28	$15,300
💵 Economy	—	3	$776
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$601
🎬 Culture	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$601

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	No	742	1.000	$741.58	$207.37	+38.8%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026?	Yes	306	0.865	$264.81	$1.53	+0.6%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?	Yes	278	0.910	$252.98	$38.92	+18.2%
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	307	0.725	$222.68	$1.54	+0.7%
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	Yes	196	1.000	$196.17	$48.97	+33.3%
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	131	0.945	$124.18	$24.31	+24.3%
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?	No	155	0.765	$118.23	$16.27	+16.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026?	Yes	124	0.780	$96.38	$2.25	+2.4%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026?	Yes	65	0.795	$51.67	$1.62	+3.2%