PnL (30d)

+$544

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$248

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+4.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

79%

23W / 6L · 50 open

Win Return (30d)

87%

68W / 10L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

79

across 28 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$28.63

avg win $127 · loss $246

Profit Factor

1.44

$1,772 won / $1,228 lost

Reward / Risk

0.52

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	79.3% 23W/6L	28	$15,300
💵 Economy	—	3	$776
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$601
🎬 Culture	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$601

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	No	742	0.996	$738.98	$204.78	+38.3%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 17, 2026?	Yes	306	0.865	$264.81	$1.53	+0.6%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?	Yes	278	0.900	$250.20	$36.14	+16.9%
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	307	0.725	$222.68	$1.54	+0.7%
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	Yes	196	0.997	$195.58	$48.38	+32.9%
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	131	0.946	$124.25	$24.38	+24.4%
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?	No	155	0.765	$118.23	$16.27	+16.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 6, 2026?	Yes	124	0.780	$96.38	$2.25	+2.4%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 7, 2026?	Yes	65	0.775	$50.37	$0.32	+0.6%