PnL (30d)

−$94

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$22

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

29W / 42L · 13 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

34W / 50L

Trades (30d)

84

across 28 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$4.28

avg win $31 · loss $17

Profit Factor

0.66

$184 won / $278 lost

Reward / Risk

1.76

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$17

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.6% 116W/133L	134	$5,492
🏛 Politics	38.5% 5W/8L	7	$241
🎬 Culture	55.6% 5W/4L	4	$221
⚽ Sports	66.7% 2W/1L	3	$150

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	308	0.380	$117.14	$83.23	+245.5%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,556	0.009	$30.22	$-1.77	-5.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	943	0.019	$18.38	$-29.78	-61.8%
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	18	0.963	$17.60	$1.60	+10.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	145	0.115	$16.73	$0.73	+4.5%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?	Yes	125	0.100	$12.50	$-3.75	-23.1%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	26	0.395	$10.39	$-5.62	-35.1%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	85	0.065	$5.52	$-10.62	-65.8%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	903	0.004	$4.06	$-6.95	-63.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	48	0.040	$1.92	$-10.08	-84.0%