PnL (30d)

+$20

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+5.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

18W / 33L

Win Return (30d)

35%

18W / 33L

Trades (30d)

51

across 17 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$1.19

avg win $57 · loss $16

Profit Factor

1.10

$228 won / $207 lost

Reward / Risk

3.57

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.6% 116W/133L	134	$5,492
🏛 Politics	38.5% 5W/8L	7	$241
🎬 Culture	55.6% 5W/4L	4	$221
⚽ Sports	66.7% 2W/1L	3	$150

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	308	0.365	$112.51	$78.61	+231.8%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,556	0.009	$30.22	$-1.77	-5.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	943	0.021	$20.18	$-27.99	-58.1%
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?	Yes	18	0.963	$17.60	$1.60	+10.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	145	0.115	$16.73	$0.73	+4.5%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?	Yes	125	0.100	$12.50	$-3.75	-23.1%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	26	0.395	$10.39	$-5.62	-35.1%
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	No	23	0.415	$9.54	$1.50	+18.6%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	85	0.065	$5.52	$-10.62	-65.8%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	903	0.004	$4.06	$-6.95	-63.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	48	0.037	$1.78	$-10.22	-85.2%