PnL (30d)

+$1,873,224

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$965

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+21.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

51%

14,788W / 14,271L · 2,010 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

15,011W / 16,058L

Trades (30d)

31,069

across 87 markets · ~357 per market

EV / position

+$24,015.69

avg win $152,199 · loss $60,531

Profit Factor

1.66

$4,718,170 won / $2,844,946 lost

Reward / Risk

2.51

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$38,570

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.2% 25,700W/20,026L	120	$14,843,699
⚽ Sports	51.2% 131W/125L	20	$219,523

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	47,132	0.461	$21,704.08	$-164.96	-0.8%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	41,161	0.213	$8,787.96	$7,444.37	+554.1%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	38,379	0.095	$3,646.03	$3,029.27	+491.2%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	37,728	0.075	$2,829.62	$2,337.00	+474.4%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	2,684	0.867	$2,325.86	$25.50	+1.1%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	17,199	0.075	$1,289.94	$86.00	+7.1%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	23,205	0.034	$777.37	$516.66	+198.2%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.011	$385.65	$-27.00	-6.5%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.004	$165.28	$-247.36	-59.9%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.004	$128.55	$-284.09	-68.8%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.002	$55.09	$-357.55	-86.6%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.002	$55.09	$-357.55	-86.6%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.002	$55.09	$-357.55	-86.6%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%