PnL (30d)

+$2,159,875

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$647

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+17.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

25,700W / 20,026L · 2,011 open

Win Return (30d)

54%

25,923W / 21,814L

Trades (30d)

47,737

across 120 markets · ~398 per market

EV / position

+$19,635.23

avg win $135,947 · loss $70,412

Profit Factor

1.49

$6,525,434 won / $4,365,559 lost

Reward / Risk

1.93

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$38,570

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.2% 25,700W/20,026L	120	$14,843,699
⚽ Sports	51.2% 131W/125L	20	$219,523

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	33,090	0.465	$15,370.46	$16.55	+0.1%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	41,161	0.213	$8,787.96	$7,444.37	+554.1%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	38,379	0.094	$3,607.65	$2,990.89	+484.9%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	37,728	0.075	$2,829.62	$2,337.00	+474.4%
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	2,684	0.866	$2,324.52	$24.16	+1.1%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	17,199	0.075	$1,289.94	$86.00	+7.1%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	23,205	0.033	$765.77	$505.06	+193.7%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.011	$422.37	$9.73	+2.4%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.004	$165.28	$-247.36	-59.9%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.004	$128.55	$-284.09	-68.8%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.002	$55.09	$-357.55	-86.6%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.002	$55.09	$-357.55	-86.6%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.002	$55.09	$-357.55	-86.6%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	36,728	0.001	$18.36	$-394.28	-95.5%