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Trader leaderboard/Umaroth

Umaroth

0xefde9ff487fae209ab6e3157a8acb4276f9c783d
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$94
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$153
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
35W / 54L · 37 open
Win Return (30d)
28%
35W / 91L
Trades (30d)
126
across 5 markets · ~25 per market
EV / position
+$23.39
avg win $70 · loss $24
Profit Factor
2.99
$141 won / $47 lost
Reward / Risk
2.99
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $39,217 · all-time $12,117,636

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 63.0% 989W/581L 176 $184,080
🏛 Politics 88.9% 8W/1L 5 $7,415
⚽ Sports 2 $1,718
💵 Economy 100.0% 8W/0L 2 $4,482
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $25

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 6,500 0.385 $2,502.48 $-332.48 -11.7%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No 2,042 0.725 $1,480.78 $160.31 +12.1%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes 5,718 0.225 $1,286.46 $-405.25 -24.0%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes 3,922 0.285 $1,117.32 $-420.71 -27.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 5,903 0.170 $1,003.55 $-994.10 -49.8%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 1,000 0.959 $958.50 $-16.50 -1.7%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 3,113 0.278 $863.85 $98.06 +12.8%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 2,851 0.298 $851.12 $-15.68 -1.8%
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes 2,000 0.420 $840.01 $-39.99 -4.5%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes 1,377 0.535 $736.83 $61.98 +9.2%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 873 0.715 $624.19 $3.54 +0.6%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 500 0.935 $467.50 $17.50 +3.9%
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? Yes 239 0.999 $238.95 $144.84 +153.9%
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 No 182 0.810 $147.27 $65.45 +80.0%
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No 2,208 0.029 $62.93 $-157.76 -71.5%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 152 0.235 $35.60 $2.27 +6.8%
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 23 0.660 $15.50 $0.01 +0.1%
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No 6 0.700 $4.18 $0.42 +11.1%