| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
6,500 |
0.385 |
$2,502.48 |
$-332.48 |
-11.7% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
2,042 |
0.725 |
$1,480.78 |
$160.31 |
+12.1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
5,718 |
0.225 |
$1,286.46 |
$-405.25 |
-24.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
5,903 |
0.215 |
$1,269.20 |
$-728.45 |
-36.5% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
Yes |
3,922 |
0.285 |
$1,117.32 |
$-420.71 |
-27.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
3,113 |
0.278 |
$863.85 |
$98.06 |
+12.8% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.430 |
$860.01 |
$-19.99 |
-2.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
2,851 |
0.298 |
$851.12 |
$-15.68 |
-1.8% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
1,377 |
0.530 |
$729.94 |
$55.09 |
+8.2% |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
873 |
0.715 |
$624.19 |
$3.54 |
+0.6% |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
500 |
0.915 |
$457.50 |
$7.50 |
+1.7% |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? |
Yes |
239 |
0.996 |
$238.11 |
$144.01 |
+153.0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
No |
182 |
0.835 |
$151.82 |
$70.00 |
+85.6% |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
No |
2,208 |
0.026 |
$57.41 |
$-163.28 |
-74.0% |
| Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
Yes |
152 |
0.220 |
$33.33 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
15 |
0.645 |
$9.77 |
$-0.38 |
-3.7% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.775 |
$4.63 |
$0.87 |
+23.0% |