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Trader leaderboard/macrosteaks

macrosteaks

0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,806
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,107
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
899W / 900L · 1,601 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
1,851W / 1,549L
Trades (30d)
3,400
across 228 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
−$15.57
avg win $93 · loss $199
Profit Factor
0.79
$6,769 won / $8,576 lost
Reward / Risk
0.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$115
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $211,304 · all-time $15,603,687

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.0% 4,689W/5,084L 1564 $691,009
⚽ Sports 29.4% 216W/519L 274 $67,901
🏛 Politics 62.8% 268W/159L 121 $27,458
🎬 Culture 68.9% 113W/51L 65 $7,751
💵 Economy 57.8% 63W/46L 15 $5,262

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 15,000 0.585 $8,775.00 $1,009.99 +13.0%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 15,000 0.540 $8,107.50 $607.50 +8.1%
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 7,975 1.000 $7,971.08 $2,738.06 +52.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 15,000 0.460 $6,892.50 $-607.50 -8.1%
UFC Fight Night: Henrique da Silva Lopes vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card) Henrique da Silva Lopes 7,500 0.495 $3,712.49 $-181.44 -4.7%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 8,017 0.394 $3,154.52 $391.98 +14.2%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 6,111 0.515 $3,147.20 $-761.27 -19.5%
Will the Los Angeles Sparks make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No 1,458 0.935 $1,363.58 $63.69 +4.9%
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal No 1,453 0.935 $1,358.54 $34.88 +2.6%
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? Yes 1,425 0.750 $1,068.78 $110.91 +11.6%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs Liquid 927 1.000 $926.54 $342.53 +58.7%
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? No 1,646 0.475 $782.47 $224.56 +40.2%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 3,985 0.190 $757.13 $-219.27 -22.5%
Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05? No 762 0.975 $742.52 $53.34 +7.7%
Will Drew Campbell come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? No 792 0.915 $724.67 $2.22 +0.3%
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee? No 1,044 0.665 $694.04 $-130.46 -15.8%
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Yes 1,090 0.635 $691.92 $140.69 +25.5%
Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee? No 898 0.770 $691.83 $62.04 +9.9%
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee? No 1,059 0.640 $677.52 $-55.90 -7.6%
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? No 686 0.958 $657.52 $11.28 +1.7%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-05? Yes 2,005 0.325 $651.60 $-95.33 -12.8%
Will Daniil Medvedev Win ATP Montreal No 677 0.955 $646.53 $13.32 +2.1%
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? Yes 2,589 0.245 $634.27 $-158.41 -20.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 4,127 0.153 $633.51 $172.12 +37.3%
Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee? Yes 834 0.675 $562.74 $43.59 +8.4%