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macrosteaks

0xeface9902242b0399856f981600b907dcc9bc9a1
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,949
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$194
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
1,102W / 971L · 189 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
1,259W / 1,003L
Trades (30d)
2,262
across 221 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$11.14
avg win $71 · loss $87
Profit Factor
1.34
$7,688 won / $5,740 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$142
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $217,292 · all-time $15,608,330

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.3% 4,744W/5,087L 1587 $697,190
⚽ Sports 33.4% 262W/522L 283 $68,825
🏛 Politics 63.3% 274W/159L 127 $29,045
🎬 Culture 68.9% 113W/51L 70 $8,259
💵 Economy 57.8% 63W/46L 15 $5,262

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 15,000 0.585 $8,775.00 $1,009.99 +13.0%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 15,000 0.541 $8,115.00 $615.00 +8.2%
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 7,975 1.000 $7,971.08 $2,738.06 +52.3%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 15,000 0.459 $6,885.00 $-615.00 -8.2%
UFC Fight Night: Henrique da Silva Lopes vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card) Henrique da Silva Lopes 7,500 0.495 $3,712.49 $-181.44 -4.7%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 6,111 0.520 $3,177.75 $-730.71 -18.7%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 8,017 0.394 $3,154.52 $391.98 +14.2%
Will the Los Angeles Sparks make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No 1,458 0.935 $1,363.58 $63.69 +4.9%
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal No 1,453 0.935 $1,358.54 $34.88 +2.6%
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? Yes 1,425 0.750 $1,068.78 $110.91 +11.6%
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? Yes 2,877 0.305 $877.45 $4.08 +0.5%
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? No 1,468 0.508 $746.11 $248.55 +50.0%
Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05? No 762 0.975 $742.90 $53.73 +7.8%
Will Drew Campbell come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? No 792 0.915 $724.67 $2.22 +0.3%
Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? Yes 3,985 0.180 $717.29 $-259.12 -26.5%
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee? No 1,044 0.665 $694.04 $-130.46 -15.8%
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? Yes 1,090 0.635 $691.92 $140.69 +25.5%
Will Mike Beltran be the FL-14 Republican nominee? No 1,059 0.640 $677.52 $-55.90 -7.6%
Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee? No 898 0.750 $673.86 $44.07 +7.0%
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? No 686 0.959 $657.87 $11.63 +1.8%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-05? Yes 2,005 0.325 $651.60 $-95.33 -12.8%
Will Daniil Medvedev Win ATP Montreal No 677 0.955 $646.53 $13.32 +2.1%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 4,127 0.152 $627.32 $165.93 +36.0%
Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee? Yes 834 0.675 $562.74 $43.59 +8.4%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A Power Rangers 768 0.730 $560.80 $73.04 +15.0%