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Trader

0xee6712ea09d6a9c86793bb6dde10ea59040e67a6
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$14
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-78.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 1L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
13W / 1L
Trades (30d)
14
across 3 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$14.40
· loss $14
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $14 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $358,461 · all-time $45,450,723

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.3% 11,325W/6,854L 1193 $50,256
🏛 Politics 96.0% 48W/2L 73 $885
💵 Economy 46.8% 52W/59L 42 $916
₿ Crypto 43.1% 44W/58L 41 $1,114
⚽ Sports 81.2% 26W/6L 33 $1,186
🎬 Culture 50.0% 8W/8L 21 $480
🤖 Tech 80.0% 4W/1L 12 $109
🔬 Science 4 $32
🌤 Weather 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

181 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 1,020 0.028 $28.05 $10.71 +61.8%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? Yes 2,706 0.009 $23.00 $9.47 +70.0%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Yes 749 0.030 $22.48 $5.24 +30.4%
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 4,829 0.004 $21.73 $6.34 +41.2%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? Yes 4,697 0.004 $21.14 $-5.29 -20.0%
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 1,309 0.015 $20.29 $8.51 +72.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August? Yes 2,692 0.007 $18.84 $10.77 +133.3%
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 1,204 0.015 $18.67 $-7.45 -28.5%
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 542 0.032 $17.33 $4.33 +33.3%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes 3,402 0.005 $17.01 $3.40 +25.0%
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes 1,549 0.011 $16.26 $3.51 +27.5%
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes 1,246 0.013 $15.57 $2.48 +19.0%
Will Washington Mystics win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes 1,050 0.015 $15.23 $0.53 +3.6%
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes 917 0.016 $14.68 $0.00 +0.0%
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 6,748 0.002 $13.50 $-13.50 -50.0%
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? No 553 0.023 $12.72 $-1.66 -11.5%
Will Solana reach $150 in August? Yes 3,600 0.004 $12.60 $-1.80 -12.5%
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027? Yes 720 0.018 $12.60 $0.36 +2.9%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2,408 0.005 $12.04 $3.74 +45.1%
Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee? No 466 0.025 $11.66 $-2.80 -19.4%
Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026? Yes 386 0.026 $10.23 $1.71 +20.1%
Will the Republican Party win the MA-08 House seat? Yes 553 0.018 $10.23 $-4.15 -28.8%
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31? Yes 104 0.090 $9.38 $3.42 +57.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? Yes 652 0.014 $9.13 $-1.30 -12.5%
Will Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Yes 642 0.014 $8.99 $1.93 +27.3%