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Trader

0xee6712ea09d6a9c86793bb6dde10ea59040e67a6
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$28
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$25
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
43W / 75L · 45 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
88W / 75L
Trades (30d)
163
across 14 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
+$3.54
avg win $24 · loss $17
Profit Factor
1.42
$95 won / $67 lost
Reward / Risk
1.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $361,815 · all-time $45,454,076

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.3% 11,325W/6,854L 1193 $50,256
🏛 Politics 96.0% 48W/2L 73 $885
💵 Economy 46.8% 52W/59L 42 $916
₿ Crypto 43.1% 44W/58L 41 $1,114
⚽ Sports 81.2% 26W/6L 33 $1,186
🎬 Culture 50.0% 8W/8L 21 $480
🤖 Tech 80.0% 4W/1L 12 $109
🔬 Science 4 $32
🌤 Weather 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

183 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? Yes 3,755 0.008 $30.04 $8.91 +42.2%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 1,020 0.028 $28.05 $10.71 +61.8%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? Yes 2,706 0.009 $23.00 $9.47 +70.0%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31? Yes 749 0.030 $22.48 $5.24 +30.4%
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 4,829 0.004 $21.73 $6.34 +41.2%
Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? Yes 600 0.035 $21.24 $6.84 +47.5%
Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch No 685 0.031 $21.23 $6.85 +47.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August? Yes 2,692 0.007 $18.84 $10.77 +133.3%
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? Yes 1,204 0.015 $18.67 $-7.45 -28.5%
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes 1,309 0.013 $17.02 $5.24 +44.4%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes 3,402 0.005 $17.01 $3.40 +25.0%
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 512 0.032 $16.38 $4.10 +33.3%
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes 1,549 0.011 $16.26 $3.51 +27.5%
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes 1,246 0.013 $15.57 $2.48 +19.0%
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes 143 0.107 $15.38 $9.23 +150.0%
Will Washington Mystics win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Yes 1,050 0.015 $15.23 $0.53 +3.6%
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes 917 0.016 $14.68 $0.00 +0.0%
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 6,748 0.002 $13.50 $-13.50 -50.0%
Will Solana reach $150 in August? Yes 3,600 0.004 $12.60 $-1.80 -12.5%
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027? Yes 720 0.018 $12.60 $0.36 +2.9%
Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? No 553 0.022 $12.44 $-1.94 -13.5%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 2,408 0.005 $12.04 $3.74 +45.1%
Will Jill Tokuda be the HI-02 Democratic nominee? No 466 0.024 $10.96 $-3.50 -24.2%
Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026? Yes 386 0.027 $10.43 $1.90 +22.4%
Will the Republican Party win the MA-08 House seat? Yes 553 0.018 $10.23 $-4.15 -28.8%