Quilty
0xee257b00fdc660243235dce9d909af16bdef7cd3
PnL (30d)
−$20
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$104
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
19W / 39L · 66 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
45W / 79L
Trades (30d)
124
across 14 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$2.85
avg win $5 · loss $9
Profit Factor
0.42
$14 won / $34 lost
Reward / Risk
0.56
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,997 · all-time $962,735
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Yes |
812 |
0.160 |
$129.96 |
$-56.64 |
-30.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
No |
647 |
0.080 |
$51.75 |
$-19.38 |
-27.2% |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
835 |
0.060 |
$50.12 |
$-44.21 |
-46.9% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
354 |
0.090 |
$31.83 |
$-4.55 |
-12.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
99 |
0.285 |
$28.24 |
$-9.56 |
-25.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
291 |
0.031 |
$9.03 |
$-7.12 |
-44.1% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
52 |
0.044 |
$2.30 |
$0.21 |
+10.0% |