PnL (30d)

−$6

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-26.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

8W / 9L

Win Return (30d)

47%

8W / 9L

Trades (30d)

17

across 17 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.38

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.57

$9 won / $15 lost

Reward / Risk

0.64

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.6% 17W/22L	41	$131
₿ Crypto	40.0% 2W/3L	5	$9
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	3	0.998	$2.53	$0.53	+26.3%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	3	0.848	$2.33	$0.33	+16.3%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	2	0.986	$2.32	$0.32	+15.9%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	2	0.978	$2.30	$0.30	+15.1%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	3	0.886	$2.27	$0.27	+13.7%
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	3	0.800	$2.22	$0.22	+11.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?	Yes	3	0.875	$2.22	$0.22	+10.8%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	3	0.830	$2.21	$0.21	+10.7%
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	2	0.921	$2.17	$0.17	+8.3%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	2	0.865	$2.16	$0.16	+8.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?	Yes	2	0.885	$2.16	$0.16	+7.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?	Yes	2	0.900	$2.14	$0.14	+7.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	Yes	2	0.920	$2.14	$0.14	+7.0%
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	3	0.780	$2.14	$0.14	+6.8%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	2	0.905	$2.13	$0.13	+6.5%
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	3	0.815	$2.12	$0.12	+5.8%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	3	0.835	$2.11	$0.11	+5.7%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	2	0.855	$2.11	$0.11	+5.6%
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	2	0.880	$2.10	$0.10	+4.8%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Yes	3	0.825	$2.09	$0.09	+4.4%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2	0.855	$2.09	$0.09	+4.3%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?	Yes	2	0.865	$2.08	$0.08	+4.2%
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	2	0.917	$2.08	$0.08	+4.1%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	3	0.823	$2.07	$0.07	+3.6%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	3	0.795	$2.06	$0.06	+3.2%