PnL (30d)

−$40

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-30.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

44%

17W / 22L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

20W / 22L

Trades (30d)

42

across 41 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$1.06

avg win $2 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.44

$32 won / $73 lost

Reward / Risk

0.55

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$10

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	43.6% 17W/22L	41	$131
₿ Crypto	40.0% 2W/3L	5	$9
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	3	0.992	$2.51	$0.51	+25.6%
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	2	0.981	$2.31	$0.31	+15.4%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	3	0.835	$2.29	$0.29	+14.5%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	3	0.886	$2.27	$0.27	+13.7%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	2	0.954	$2.24	$0.24	+12.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?	Yes	3	0.875	$2.22	$0.22	+10.8%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	3	0.830	$2.21	$0.21	+10.7%
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	3	0.790	$2.19	$0.19	+9.7%
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?	Yes	2	0.921	$2.17	$0.17	+8.3%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	2	0.865	$2.16	$0.16	+8.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?	Yes	2	0.885	$2.16	$0.16	+7.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?	Yes	2	0.900	$2.14	$0.14	+7.1%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	Yes	2	0.920	$2.14	$0.14	+7.0%
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?	Yes	2	0.905	$2.13	$0.13	+6.5%
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	3	0.775	$2.12	$0.12	+6.2%
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	3	0.815	$2.12	$0.12	+5.8%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	3	0.835	$2.11	$0.11	+5.7%
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	2	0.855	$2.11	$0.11	+5.6%
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?	Yes	2	0.880	$2.10	$0.10	+4.8%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Yes	3	0.825	$2.09	$0.09	+4.4%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	2	0.855	$2.09	$0.09	+4.3%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?	Yes	2	0.865	$2.08	$0.08	+4.2%
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	2	0.916	$2.08	$0.08	+4.0%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	3	0.823	$2.07	$0.07	+3.6%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	3	0.795	$2.06	$0.06	+3.2%