| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.825 |
$1,237.50 |
$-25.50 |
-2.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
725 |
0.845 |
$612.62 |
$73.25 |
+13.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
800 |
0.695 |
$555.92 |
$-10.08 |
-1.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.455 |
$409.50 |
$-44.50 |
-9.8% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
483 |
0.815 |
$393.40 |
$23.61 |
+6.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
600 |
0.635 |
$381.00 |
$95.00 |
+33.2% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
790 |
0.455 |
$359.45 |
$-4.05 |
-1.1% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
500 |
0.715 |
$357.50 |
$46.50 |
+15.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.823 |
$329.00 |
$10.60 |
+3.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
378 |
0.855 |
$323.19 |
$9.45 |
+3.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.645 |
$322.50 |
$22.50 |
+7.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
800 |
0.395 |
$316.00 |
$-10.00 |
-3.1% |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
No |
350 |
0.868 |
$303.62 |
$1.08 |
+0.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.964 |
$289.05 |
$38.55 |
+15.4% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
300 |
0.924 |
$277.35 |
$13.55 |
+5.1% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
762 |
0.356 |
$271.83 |
$-29.81 |
-9.9% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
No |
500 |
0.540 |
$270.00 |
$18.00 |
+7.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
315 |
0.815 |
$256.70 |
$97.85 |
+61.6% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.085 |
$255.00 |
$-88.97 |
-25.9% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
400 |
0.585 |
$234.00 |
$19.00 |
+8.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
250 |
0.905 |
$226.25 |
$85.00 |
+60.2% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.180 |
$216.60 |
$-53.40 |
-19.8% |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? |
No |
224 |
0.957 |
$214.81 |
$35.26 |
+19.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
1,420 |
0.145 |
$205.90 |
$-28.10 |
-12.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.685 |
$205.49 |
$1.50 |
+0.7% |