| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,500 |
0.845 |
$1,267.50 |
$4.50 |
+0.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
725 |
0.835 |
$605.37 |
$66.00 |
+12.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
800 |
0.695 |
$555.92 |
$-10.08 |
-1.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
900 |
0.455 |
$409.50 |
$-44.50 |
-9.8% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? |
No |
483 |
0.815 |
$393.40 |
$23.61 |
+6.4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
600 |
0.615 |
$369.00 |
$83.00 |
+29.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
500 |
0.715 |
$357.50 |
$46.50 |
+15.0% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
790 |
0.445 |
$351.55 |
$-11.95 |
-3.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.823 |
$329.00 |
$10.60 |
+3.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
378 |
0.855 |
$323.19 |
$9.45 |
+3.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.645 |
$322.50 |
$22.50 |
+7.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
800 |
0.395 |
$316.00 |
$-10.00 |
-3.1% |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
No |
350 |
0.868 |
$303.62 |
$1.08 |
+0.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.964 |
$289.05 |
$38.55 |
+15.4% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
300 |
0.926 |
$277.95 |
$14.15 |
+5.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
444 |
0.625 |
$277.50 |
$52.84 |
+23.5% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
762 |
0.356 |
$271.83 |
$-29.81 |
-9.9% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
No |
500 |
0.540 |
$270.00 |
$18.00 |
+7.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
315 |
0.785 |
$247.28 |
$88.43 |
+55.7% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
2,559 |
0.095 |
$243.14 |
$-65.58 |
-21.2% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
400 |
0.580 |
$232.00 |
$17.00 |
+7.9% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.189 |
$226.20 |
$-43.80 |
-16.2% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
250 |
0.875 |
$218.75 |
$77.50 |
+54.9% |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? |
No |
224 |
0.945 |
$212.00 |
$32.46 |
+18.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.685 |
$205.49 |
$1.50 |
+0.7% |