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Trader leaderboard/ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER

ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER

0xecf4d3d0a960f0f4460761fe4672a14479799979
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$108
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,117
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
39W / 25L · 252 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
136W / 135L · 45 open
Trades (30d)
316
across 39 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$15.41
avg win $46 · loss $170
Profit Factor
0.68
$232 won / $340 lost
Reward / Risk
0.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,334 · all-time $1,690,355

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.2% 114W/82L 77 $55,445
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 10 $9,873
💵 Economy 66.7% 2W/1L 4 $989

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 2,633 0.715 $1,882.79 $777.54 +70.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 1,200 0.785 $942.00 $274.00 +41.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 1,784 0.385 $686.86 $-163.80 -19.3%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 750 0.875 $656.25 $3.75 +0.6%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 439 0.890 $390.34 $135.96 +53.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 500 0.615 $307.50 $67.50 +28.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? Yes 300 0.899 $269.85 $-3.15 -1.2%
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat? No 251 0.908 $227.71 $-0.38 -0.2%
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes 612 0.350 $214.27 $-85.59 -28.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes 266 0.795 $211.17 $9.30 +4.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? Yes 49 0.645 $31.41 $1.22 +4.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? Yes 108 0.185 $20.06 $1.63 +8.8%
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 19 0.840 $15.90 $-0.95 -5.6%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? No 103 0.135 $13.89 $-0.51 -3.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? No 84 0.075 $6.26 $-1.25 -16.7%
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? No 40 0.155 $6.14 $-2.58 -29.5%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? No 5 0.325 $1.62 $-0.03 -1.5%
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? Yes 87 0.015 $1.31 $-11.77 -90.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat? Yes 5 0.130 $0.65 $0.00 +0.0%