| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
2,633 |
0.715 |
$1,882.79 |
$777.54 |
+70.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.845 |
$1,014.00 |
$346.00 |
+51.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
1,784 |
0.385 |
$686.86 |
$-163.80 |
-19.3% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
750 |
0.865 |
$648.75 |
$-3.75 |
-0.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
439 |
0.895 |
$392.53 |
$138.15 |
+54.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
500 |
0.635 |
$317.50 |
$77.50 |
+32.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? |
Yes |
300 |
0.900 |
$270.00 |
$-3.00 |
-1.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat? |
No |
251 |
0.908 |
$227.71 |
$-0.38 |
-0.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? |
Yes |
266 |
0.795 |
$211.17 |
$9.30 |
+4.6% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? |
Yes |
612 |
0.345 |
$211.15 |
$-88.71 |
-29.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.427 |
$171.00 |
$-5.00 |
-2.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? |
Yes |
49 |
0.640 |
$31.16 |
$0.97 |
+3.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? |
Yes |
108 |
0.175 |
$18.98 |
$0.54 |
+2.9% |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? |
No |
19 |
0.835 |
$15.81 |
$-1.04 |
-6.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat? |
No |
103 |
0.135 |
$13.89 |
$-0.51 |
-3.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? |
No |
84 |
0.075 |
$6.26 |
$-1.25 |
-16.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat? |
No |
40 |
0.155 |
$6.14 |
$-2.58 |
-29.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? |
No |
5 |
0.325 |
$1.62 |
$-0.03 |
-1.5% |
| Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? |
Yes |
87 |
0.008 |
$0.70 |
$-12.38 |
-94.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat? |
Yes |
5 |
0.120 |
$0.60 |
$-0.05 |
-7.7% |