| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
87,047 |
0.455 |
$39,606.32 |
$-821.64 |
-2.0% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
46,651 |
0.365 |
$17,027.52 |
$1,463.71 |
+9.4% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? |
No |
7,059 |
0.904 |
$6,381.43 |
$3,371.62 |
+112.0% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
5,961 |
0.905 |
$5,394.36 |
$514.90 |
+10.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
33,296 |
0.155 |
$5,160.93 |
$-1,169.60 |
-18.5% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.875 |
$4,375.00 |
$-410.00 |
-8.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
7,156 |
0.585 |
$4,185.99 |
$36.60 |
+0.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14,913 |
0.250 |
$3,728.27 |
$6.56 |
+0.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
No |
5,897 |
0.595 |
$3,508.91 |
$-265.38 |
-7.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
4,976 |
0.685 |
$3,408.79 |
$104.45 |
+3.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
5,597 |
0.560 |
$3,137.28 |
$1,231.74 |
+64.6% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
2,500 |
0.890 |
$2,226.25 |
$-176.25 |
-7.3% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,600 |
0.459 |
$2,111.25 |
$349.57 |
+19.8% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
5,104 |
0.395 |
$2,015.98 |
$218.68 |
+12.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
2,972 |
0.650 |
$1,931.95 |
$58.06 |
+3.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
3,083 |
0.525 |
$1,618.83 |
$200.43 |
+14.1% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,896 |
0.822 |
$1,557.66 |
$162.12 |
+11.6% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,855 |
0.278 |
$1,347.39 |
$249.84 |
+22.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
814 |
0.845 |
$687.42 |
$145.03 |
+26.7% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
1,678 |
0.285 |
$478.12 |
$-495.31 |
-50.9% |
| Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
2,400 |
0.183 |
$439.28 |
$168.60 |
+62.3% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
No |
488 |
0.795 |
$387.71 |
$2.44 |
+0.6% |
| Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Yes |
44 |
0.974 |
$42.68 |
$1.03 |
+2.5% |