| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
87,047 |
0.465 |
$40,476.79 |
$48.83 |
+0.1% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
46,651 |
0.375 |
$17,494.02 |
$1,930.22 |
+12.4% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? |
No |
7,059 |
0.904 |
$6,381.43 |
$3,371.62 |
+112.0% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
5,961 |
0.910 |
$5,424.16 |
$544.71 |
+11.2% |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
No |
5,384 |
0.978 |
$5,265.72 |
$533.13 |
+11.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
33,296 |
0.155 |
$5,160.93 |
$-1,169.60 |
-18.5% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.848 |
$4,240.00 |
$-545.00 |
-11.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
7,149 |
0.585 |
$4,182.37 |
$36.57 |
+0.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
14,913 |
0.245 |
$3,653.71 |
$-68.00 |
-1.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
No |
5,897 |
0.615 |
$3,626.86 |
$-147.43 |
-3.9% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
4,976 |
0.685 |
$3,408.79 |
$104.45 |
+3.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
5,597 |
0.540 |
$3,025.33 |
$1,119.79 |
+58.8% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,600 |
0.460 |
$2,113.55 |
$351.87 |
+20.0% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
2,500 |
0.844 |
$2,108.75 |
$-293.75 |
-12.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
5,104 |
0.395 |
$2,015.98 |
$218.68 |
+12.2% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,697 |
0.979 |
$1,660.45 |
$13.66 |
+0.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
3,083 |
0.515 |
$1,587.99 |
$169.59 |
+12.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,896 |
0.823 |
$1,559.56 |
$164.01 |
+11.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,855 |
0.278 |
$1,347.39 |
$249.84 |
+22.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,472 |
0.675 |
$993.76 |
$139.86 |
+16.4% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
814 |
0.855 |
$695.56 |
$153.16 |
+28.2% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
1,678 |
0.325 |
$545.41 |
$-428.01 |
-44.0% |
| Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
2,400 |
0.183 |
$439.28 |
$168.60 |
+62.3% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? |
No |
488 |
0.790 |
$385.28 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
Yes |
44 |
0.974 |
$42.68 |
$1.03 |
+2.5% |