| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100,000 |
0.278 |
$27,749.93 |
$4,304.09 |
+18.4% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
14,590 |
0.886 |
$12,933.93 |
$167.80 |
+1.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
No |
20,362 |
0.560 |
$11,402.97 |
$203.73 |
+1.8% |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
105,000 |
0.085 |
$8,924.99 |
$-525.00 |
-5.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
15,266 |
0.455 |
$6,945.83 |
$534.31 |
+8.3% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
200,916 |
0.030 |
$6,127.94 |
$1,606.32 |
+35.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.305 |
$6,100.00 |
$2,700.00 |
+79.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
15,000 |
0.375 |
$5,625.00 |
$-274.99 |
-4.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
10,000 |
0.540 |
$5,404.88 |
$-424.99 |
-7.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.525 |
$5,250.22 |
$259.17 |
+5.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
20,008 |
0.155 |
$3,101.27 |
$-4,020.31 |
-56.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
7,500 |
0.380 |
$2,849.99 |
$-1,024.98 |
-26.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
6,131 |
0.425 |
$2,605.80 |
$418.58 |
+19.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,853 |
0.515 |
$2,499.16 |
$458.29 |
+22.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.475 |
$2,374.99 |
$-25.00 |
-1.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
13,980 |
0.155 |
$2,166.84 |
$-449.46 |
-17.2% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
199,121 |
0.009 |
$1,891.65 |
$-272.60 |
-12.6% |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
13,197 |
0.133 |
$1,748.55 |
$32.99 |
+1.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.310 |
$1,550.00 |
$-839.99 |
-35.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.145 |
$1,450.00 |
$-1,050.00 |
-42.0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
53,234 |
0.025 |
$1,352.14 |
$-100.13 |
-6.9% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.260 |
$1,300.00 |
$-350.00 |
-21.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.255 |
$1,275.00 |
$-225.00 |
-15.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
5,500 |
0.205 |
$1,127.50 |
$-742.49 |
-39.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.555 |
$1,111.00 |
$-274.50 |
-19.8% |