| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100,000 |
0.278 |
$27,749.93 |
$4,304.09 |
+18.4% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
14,590 |
0.886 |
$12,933.93 |
$167.80 |
+1.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
No |
20,362 |
0.560 |
$11,402.97 |
$203.73 |
+1.8% |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? |
Yes |
105,000 |
0.085 |
$8,924.99 |
$-525.00 |
-5.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
15,266 |
0.455 |
$6,945.83 |
$534.31 |
+8.3% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
200,916 |
0.030 |
$6,127.94 |
$1,606.32 |
+35.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.305 |
$6,100.00 |
$2,700.00 |
+79.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
15,000 |
0.375 |
$5,625.00 |
$-274.99 |
-4.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
10,000 |
0.540 |
$5,404.88 |
$-424.99 |
-7.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.505 |
$5,050.22 |
$59.16 |
+1.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
17,008 |
0.220 |
$3,741.80 |
$-2,779.79 |
-42.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,853 |
0.565 |
$2,741.31 |
$700.44 |
+34.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
6,500 |
0.410 |
$2,664.99 |
$-849.98 |
-24.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
6,131 |
0.405 |
$2,483.17 |
$295.96 |
+13.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
13,980 |
0.155 |
$2,166.84 |
$-449.46 |
-17.2% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
199,121 |
0.009 |
$1,891.65 |
$-272.60 |
-12.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
5,500 |
0.310 |
$1,705.00 |
$-164.99 |
-8.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.145 |
$1,450.00 |
$-1,050.00 |
-42.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
40,000 |
0.035 |
$1,380.00 |
$193.20 |
+16.3% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
53,234 |
0.025 |
$1,352.14 |
$-100.13 |
-6.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
2,774 |
0.485 |
$1,345.59 |
$13.87 |
+1.0% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.265 |
$1,325.00 |
$-325.00 |
-19.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.255 |
$1,275.00 |
$-225.00 |
-15.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
5,000 |
0.235 |
$1,175.00 |
$-375.00 |
-24.2% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
5,160 |
0.215 |
$1,109.39 |
$-436.98 |
-28.3% |