| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat? |
Yes |
320 |
0.955 |
$305.60 |
$8.00 |
+2.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? |
No |
635 |
0.380 |
$241.22 |
$12.49 |
+5.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? |
No |
243 |
0.965 |
$234.17 |
$27.91 |
+13.5% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
502 |
0.362 |
$182.10 |
$147.34 |
+423.9% |
| Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? |
Yes |
235 |
0.345 |
$81.02 |
$-18.86 |
-18.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? |
Yes |
123 |
0.620 |
$76.26 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? |
No |
175 |
0.430 |
$75.25 |
$3.11 |
+4.3% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? |
Yes |
191 |
0.340 |
$64.95 |
$2.75 |
+4.4% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,128 |
0.051 |
$57.42 |
$30.90 |
+116.5% |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? |
Yes |
213 |
0.245 |
$52.19 |
$-62.13 |
-54.4% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.155 |
$46.38 |
$-17.62 |
-27.5% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
Yes |
491 |
0.088 |
$43.24 |
$25.02 |
+137.3% |
| Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series? |
Yes |
89 |
0.451 |
$40.14 |
$14.87 |
+58.8% |
| Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
68 |
0.495 |
$33.66 |
$1.70 |
+5.3% |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
52 |
0.635 |
$33.21 |
$-7.72 |
-18.9% |
| Blue wave in 2026? |
No |
112 |
0.255 |
$28.59 |
$-2.81 |
-9.0% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
No |
89 |
0.310 |
$27.49 |
$-1.10 |
-3.8% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? |
Yes |
300 |
0.075 |
$22.50 |
$-7.50 |
-25.0% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
Yes |
157 |
0.112 |
$17.45 |
$0.70 |
+4.2% |
| Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? |
No |
77 |
0.227 |
$17.37 |
$5.52 |
+46.6% |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.070 |
$16.83 |
$-66.10 |
-79.7% |
| Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? |
Yes |
245 |
0.068 |
$16.63 |
$-20.84 |
-55.6% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
144 |
0.105 |
$15.09 |
$-16.53 |
-52.3% |
| City Protocol FDV above $350M one day after launch? |
Yes |
49 |
0.300 |
$14.59 |
$7.29 |
+100.0% |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
Yes |
493 |
0.029 |
$14.54 |
$2.22 |
+18.0% |