| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? |
No |
101 |
0.953 |
$96.00 |
$0.84 |
+0.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
56 |
0.930 |
$52.13 |
$1.27 |
+2.5% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
52 |
0.971 |
$50.16 |
$1.76 |
+3.6% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
35 |
0.790 |
$27.35 |
$0.31 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
37 |
0.665 |
$24.41 |
$-0.45 |
-1.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
28 |
0.835 |
$23.27 |
$2.62 |
+12.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
Yes |
60 |
0.375 |
$22.54 |
$-8.28 |
-26.9% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.845 |
$21.26 |
$0.85 |
+4.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
23 |
0.790 |
$18.47 |
$-1.64 |
-8.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
24 |
0.675 |
$16.22 |
$-0.51 |
-3.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? |
No |
19 |
0.785 |
$15.04 |
$-1.45 |
-8.8% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? |
No |
17 |
0.860 |
$14.90 |
$-0.18 |
-1.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.885 |
$13.39 |
$0.08 |
+0.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
14 |
0.972 |
$13.25 |
$-0.06 |
-0.4% |
| Blue wave in 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.745 |
$12.42 |
$0.58 |
+4.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
22 |
0.485 |
$10.57 |
$1.18 |
+12.6% |
| Human moon landing in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.982 |
$10.11 |
$0.10 |
+1.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.949 |
$9.98 |
$0.41 |
+4.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.485 |
$7.68 |
$0.62 |
+8.8% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.515 |
$7.61 |
$-0.96 |
-11.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.964 |
$7.33 |
$0.37 |
+5.3% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.935 |
$6.24 |
$0.63 |
+11.3% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
7 |
0.825 |
$5.99 |
$0.16 |
+2.7% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.829 |
$5.27 |
$-0.64 |
-10.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.865 |
$4.63 |
$0.03 |
+0.6% |