| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? |
No |
101 |
0.954 |
$96.05 |
$0.89 |
+0.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
56 |
0.930 |
$52.13 |
$1.27 |
+2.5% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
52 |
0.969 |
$50.06 |
$1.65 |
+3.4% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
No |
35 |
0.790 |
$27.35 |
$0.31 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
No |
37 |
0.665 |
$24.41 |
$-0.45 |
-1.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
28 |
0.845 |
$23.55 |
$2.90 |
+14.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? |
Yes |
60 |
0.375 |
$22.54 |
$-8.28 |
-26.9% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.840 |
$21.13 |
$0.72 |
+3.5% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
23 |
0.790 |
$18.47 |
$-1.64 |
-8.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
24 |
0.675 |
$16.22 |
$-0.51 |
-3.1% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? |
No |
17 |
0.860 |
$14.90 |
$-0.18 |
-1.2% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? |
No |
19 |
0.775 |
$14.84 |
$-1.64 |
-9.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.885 |
$13.39 |
$0.08 |
+0.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
14 |
0.974 |
$13.28 |
$-0.02 |
-0.2% |
| Blue wave in 2026? |
Yes |
17 |
0.745 |
$12.42 |
$0.58 |
+4.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
22 |
0.475 |
$10.35 |
$0.97 |
+10.3% |
| Human moon landing in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.982 |
$10.11 |
$0.10 |
+1.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.945 |
$9.93 |
$0.36 |
+3.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.485 |
$7.68 |
$0.62 |
+8.8% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.515 |
$7.61 |
$-0.96 |
-11.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.964 |
$7.33 |
$0.37 |
+5.4% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.935 |
$6.24 |
$0.63 |
+11.3% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
7 |
0.825 |
$5.99 |
$0.16 |
+2.7% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.829 |
$5.27 |
$-0.64 |
-10.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.875 |
$4.68 |
$0.08 |
+1.7% |