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Trader

0xe9615b794567bb3ba56e44063bf368837c778dca
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
13W / 25L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
34W / 25L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
61
across 18 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.25
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.28
$1 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,656 · all-time $1,599,142

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.7% 521W/825L 602 $644
⚽ Sports 40.0% 12W/18L 16 $9
🌤 Weather 8 $5
🔬 Science 8 $5
🏛 Politics 10.0% 1W/9L 8 $6
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/4L 3 $0
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Spread: TSG Hoffenheim (-2.5) Karlsruher SC 900 0.249 $224.54 $223.64 +24578.5%
Spread: TSG Hoffenheim (-1.5) Karlsruher SC 900 0.249 $224.09 $223.19 +24577.9%
TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Under 91 0.495 $45.04 $44.13 +4850.0%
CA Tucumán vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 5.5 Over 25 0.476 $11.83 $10.59 +852.0%
CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5 Over 17 0.440 $7.48 $6.63 +780.0%
Gillingham FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 0.5 Under 12 0.470 $5.64 $4.56 +422.2%
Will 190 to 219 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 14 0.303 $4.20 $4.05 +2654.5%
Will 130 to 159 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 16 0.255 $3.98 $3.81 +2203.2%
Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 11 0.201 $2.23 $2.01 +902.5%
TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 5.5 Over 8 0.248 $2.05 $1.72 +520.0%
Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 7 0.250 $1.68 $1.34 +400.0%
HNK Rijeka vs. Ilves Tampere: Ilves Tampere 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 11 0.150 $1.65 $0.99 +150.0%
TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5 Over 903 0.002 $1.35 $0.44 +48.9%
Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No 29 0.045 $1.32 $0.45 +51.7%
Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 38 0.034 $1.28 $1.12 +703.7%
TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: Both Teams to Score Yes 849 0.002 $1.27 $0.41 +48.4%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on August 5? No 20 0.063 $1.26 $1.04 +472.7%
Will Darline Graham vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No 16 0.075 $1.21 $0.43 +55.5%
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 17 0.060 $0.99 $0.81 +445.4%
Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 34 0.025 $0.85 $0.79 +1150.0%
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? Yes 21 0.034 $0.73 $-0.24 -24.4%
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No 10 0.043 $0.44 $-0.18 -28.5%
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5 Over 1 0.265 $0.28 $0.23 +562.3%
Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 6 0.044 $0.27 $0.21 +304.5%
Exact Score: RCD Mallorca 3 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain? Yes 7 0.019 $0.13 $-0.01 -5.0%