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Trader

0xe9615b794567bb3ba56e44063bf368837c778dca
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
5W / 15L · 44 open
Win Return (30d)
71%
44W / 18L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
64
across 12 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$0.06
avg win $0 · loss $0
Profit Factor
0.51
$0 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
1.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,656 · all-time $1,599,142

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 38.7% 521W/825L 602 $644
⚽ Sports 40.0% 12W/18L 16 $9
🌤 Weather 8 $5
🔬 Science 8 $5
🏛 Politics 10.0% 1W/9L 8 $6
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/4L 3 $0
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Spread: TSG Hoffenheim (-2.5) Karlsruher SC 900 0.249 $224.54 $223.64 +24578.5%
Spread: TSG Hoffenheim (-1.5) Karlsruher SC 900 0.249 $224.09 $223.19 +24577.9%
TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Under 91 0.495 $45.04 $44.13 +4850.0%
CA Tucumán vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 5.5 Over 25 0.450 $11.17 $9.93 +799.0%
CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 5.5 Over 17 0.325 $5.53 $4.67 +550.0%
Will 130 to 159 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 16 0.255 $3.98 $3.81 +2203.2%
Will 190 to 219 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 14 0.244 $3.38 $3.23 +2118.1%
Will 160 to 189 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 11 0.201 $2.23 $2.01 +902.5%
HNK Rijeka vs. Ilves Tampere: Ilves Tampere 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 11 0.200 $2.20 $1.54 +233.3%
TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 5.5 Over 8 0.248 $2.05 $1.72 +520.0%
Gillingham FC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 0.5 Under 12 0.160 $1.92 $0.84 +77.8%
Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 7 0.270 $1.81 $1.48 +440.0%
Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 38 0.042 $1.59 $1.43 +895.6%
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $265 on August 5? No 20 0.073 $1.47 $1.25 +568.2%
Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No 29 0.045 $1.32 $0.45 +51.7%
Will Darline Graham vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No 16 0.072 $1.15 $0.38 +48.3%
Will Lazio Rome win on 2026-08-05? No 69 0.016 $1.11 $-0.19 -14.8%
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 17 0.053 $0.88 $0.69 +381.7%
Will 280 to 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 34 0.025 $0.85 $0.79 +1150.0%
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? Yes 21 0.035 $0.76 $-0.21 -21.3%
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? No 10 0.040 $0.41 $-0.21 -34.2%
Will Lazio Rome vs. AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio end in a draw? Yes 12 0.026 $0.31 $0.10 +47.2%
Will AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio win on 2026-08-05? Yes 39 0.007 $0.29 $-0.10 -26.2%
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5 Over 1 0.275 $0.29 $0.24 +587.3%
Will 220 to 249 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026? Yes 6 0.044 $0.27 $0.21 +304.5%