PnL (30d)

−$623

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$102

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-41.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 43L · 21 open

Win Return (30d)

19%

12W / 52L

Trades (30d)

64

across 8 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$155.75

· loss $156

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $623 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.4% 217W/396L	121	$56,655
₿ Crypto	21.9% 7W/25L	9	$4,214
💵 Economy	—	4	$4,509
🏛 Politics	—	3	$536
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/3L	1	$758

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	30,194	0.385	$11,624.65	$7,694.40	+195.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	No	10,424	0.110	$1,146.60	$-320.30	-21.8%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	1,205	0.535	$644.56	$162.65	+33.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	1,116	0.350	$390.74	$-98.00	-20.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	726	0.515	$373.85	$55.05	+17.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?	No	495	0.615	$304.43	$-5.12	-1.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	129	0.695	$89.64	$0.63	+0.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6?	No	200	0.325	$65.00	$-45.00	-40.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	243	0.190	$46.15	$-2.43	-5.0%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	5,723	0.007	$42.92	$-96.53	-69.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?	No	42,428	0.001	$42.43	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	1,664	0.025	$42.26	$-7.68	-15.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	No	5,991	0.006	$38.94	$-11.19	-22.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	348	0.095	$33.05	$-165.53	-83.4%
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	149	0.205	$30.59	$-3.64	-10.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	225	0.059	$13.39	$3.28	+32.4%
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	940	0.011	$10.81	$-22.61	-67.7%
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 4-10?	Yes	10	0.730	$7.30	$1.30	+21.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	No	495	0.002	$0.74	$-16.58	-95.7%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	9	0.064	$0.58	$-0.86	-60.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?	No	785	0.001	$0.39	$-5.89	-93.8%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	259	0.001	$0.13	$-36.14	-99.6%