PnL (30d)

−$894

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$473

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

35%

217W / 396L · 60 open

Win Return (30d)

38%

253W / 419L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

673

across 121 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$8.68

avg win $443 · loss $177

Profit Factor

0.93

$12,418 won / $13,312 lost

Reward / Risk

2.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$4,820

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	35.4% 217W/396L	121	$56,655
₿ Crypto	26.5% 9W/25L	10	$4,970
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$653
💵 Economy	—	4	$4,509
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/3L	1	$758

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	29,947	0.385	$11,529.56	$7,693.12	+200.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	No	10,424	0.145	$1,511.43	$44.53	+3.0%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	1,205	0.515	$620.46	$138.55	+28.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	1,116	0.425	$474.47	$-14.27	-2.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	No	1,195	0.375	$448.12	$-234.07	-34.3%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	726	0.515	$373.85	$55.05	+17.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?	No	495	0.680	$336.60	$27.05	+8.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	129	0.695	$89.64	$0.63	+0.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6?	No	200	0.435	$87.00	$-23.00	-20.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 6?	No	1,564	0.036	$56.29	$9.36	+19.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?	No	42,428	0.001	$42.43	$0.00	+0.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	No	4,146	0.009	$37.31	$1.94	+5.5%
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	149	0.205	$30.59	$-3.64	-10.6%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	5,723	0.003	$17.17	$-122.28	-87.7%
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	940	0.011	$10.81	$-22.61	-67.7%
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin August 4-10?	Yes	10	0.555	$5.55	$-0.45	-7.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?	No	495	0.011	$5.20	$-12.13	-70.0%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	Yes	259	0.006	$1.55	$-34.72	-95.7%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	9	0.067	$0.60	$-0.84	-58.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?	No	785	0.001	$0.39	$-5.89	-93.8%