PnL (30d)

+$557

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+28.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

62W / 49L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

67W / 50L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

118

across 53 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$11.61

avg win $37 · loss $31

Profit Factor

2.01

$1,108 won / $551 lost

Reward / Risk

1.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$26

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	79.6% 10,652W/2,730L	5523	$130,264
₿ Crypto	58.1% 212W/153L	128	$2,850
🎬 Culture	35.2% 37W/68L	24	$616
⚽ Sports	46.0% 23W/27L	23	$394

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

94 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet	Rafael Jodar	136	0.735	$99.96	$0.68	+0.7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?	No	109	0.695	$75.74	$0.99	+1.3%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?	No	66	0.835	$55.11	$0.81	+1.5%
Will Solana reach $90 in August?	No	62	0.885	$54.87	$-0.31	-0.6%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?	No	120	0.435	$52.20	$-6.60	-11.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	Yes	50	0.978	$48.88	$18.30	+59.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	Yes	48	0.915	$43.92	$3.00	+7.3%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August?	Yes	72	0.585	$42.12	$0.36	+0.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?	Yes	44	0.955	$42.02	$4.14	+10.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	Yes	42	0.993	$41.70	$5.02	+13.7%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	42	0.944	$39.63	$0.86	+2.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	53	0.705	$37.36	$-3.54	-8.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	40	0.885	$35.40	$3.00	+9.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	43	0.775	$33.33	$5.47	+19.7%
ITF Tianjin: Thasaporn Naklo vs Ruien Zhang	Ruien Zhang	32	1.000	$31.98	$16.94	+112.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?	No	32	0.998	$31.94	$3.14	+10.9%
Will Solana dip to $60 in August?	No	36	0.880	$31.68	$2.16	+7.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?	Yes	56	0.560	$31.54	$1.70	+5.7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?	No	36	0.875	$31.50	$1.98	+6.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 5?	No	32	0.960	$30.72	$4.30	+16.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?	No	34	0.900	$30.60	$1.36	+4.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	No	32	0.935	$29.92	$1.12	+3.9%
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?	Up	31	0.935	$28.98	$5.96	+25.9%
ITF Astana: Anna Sedysheva vs Mahin Qureshi	Anna Sedysheva	33	0.810	$26.73	$-5.08	-16.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?	No	58	0.440	$25.52	$-6.76	-20.9%