PnL (30d)

+$1,475

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$51

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

80%

10,651W / 2,727L · 121 open

Win Return (30d)

79%

10,704W / 2,790L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

13,499

across 5,523 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.27

avg win $4 · loss $17

Profit Factor

1.09

$18,365 won / $16,891 lost

Reward / Risk

0.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$496

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	79.6% 10,651W/2,727L	5523	$130,264
₿ Crypto	58.1% 212W/153L	128	$2,850
🎬 Culture	35.2% 37W/68L	24	$616
⚽ Sports	47.9% 23W/25L	23	$394

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

96 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet	Rafael Jodar	136	0.735	$99.96	$0.68	+0.7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August?	No	109	0.685	$74.67	$-0.08	-0.1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?	No	66	0.830	$54.78	$0.48	+0.9%
Will Solana reach $90 in August?	No	62	0.880	$54.56	$-0.62	-1.1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?	No	120	0.425	$51.00	$-7.80	-13.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?	Yes	50	0.935	$46.75	$16.17	+52.9%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?	Yes	48	0.910	$43.68	$2.76	+6.7%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August?	Yes	72	0.590	$42.48	$0.72	+1.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 7?	Yes	44	0.950	$41.80	$3.92	+10.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6?	Yes	42	0.994	$41.72	$5.05	+13.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	42	0.942	$39.54	$0.78	+2.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?	No	53	0.705	$37.36	$-3.54	-8.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	No	40	0.875	$35.00	$2.60	+8.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	43	0.775	$33.33	$5.47	+19.7%
ITF Tianjin: Thasaporn Naklo vs Ruien Zhang	Ruien Zhang	32	1.000	$31.98	$16.94	+112.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?	No	32	0.995	$31.82	$3.02	+10.5%
Will Solana dip to $60 in August?	No	36	0.880	$31.68	$2.16	+7.3%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 August 3-9?	No	36	0.870	$31.32	$1.80	+6.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?	Yes	56	0.555	$31.26	$1.42	+4.8%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?	No	34	0.905	$30.77	$1.53	+5.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 5?	No	32	0.940	$30.08	$3.66	+13.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?	No	32	0.925	$29.60	$0.80	+2.8%
ITF Astana: Anna Sedysheva vs Mahin Qureshi	Anna Sedysheva	33	0.800	$26.40	$-5.41	-17.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?	No	58	0.445	$25.81	$-6.47	-20.0%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	26	0.955	$24.83	$1.17	+4.9%