| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
256 |
0.835 |
$213.68 |
$17.25 |
+8.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
53 |
0.945 |
$50.00 |
$-0.26 |
-0.5% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
79 |
0.625 |
$49.61 |
$-12.07 |
-19.6% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
47 |
0.735 |
$34.55 |
$-0.80 |
-2.3% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.955 |
$29.55 |
$-0.15 |
-0.5% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
20 |
0.948 |
$18.60 |
$-0.18 |
-0.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
31 |
0.530 |
$16.42 |
$-1.00 |
-5.8% |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
15 |
0.999 |
$14.97 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
23 |
0.630 |
$14.73 |
$1.72 |
+13.3% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.963 |
$13.89 |
$0.05 |
+0.4% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
49 |
0.275 |
$13.42 |
$-2.05 |
-13.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
38 |
0.350 |
$13.15 |
$-0.40 |
-3.0% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
No |
14 |
0.945 |
$12.99 |
$0.07 |
+0.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
19 |
0.675 |
$12.72 |
$1.70 |
+15.4% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.974 |
$12.25 |
$-0.02 |
-0.1% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.991 |
$11.99 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.865 |
$10.38 |
$6.54 |
+170.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
14 |
0.715 |
$10.24 |
$0.31 |
+3.2% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.984 |
$10.05 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.976 |
$9.86 |
$-0.13 |
-1.3% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
36 |
0.250 |
$8.90 |
$-1.07 |
-10.7% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
28 |
0.280 |
$7.94 |
$3.12 |
+64.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
43 |
0.165 |
$7.08 |
$1.07 |
+17.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
50 |
0.125 |
$6.24 |
$-0.89 |
-12.4% |
| Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.925 |
$5.97 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |